Swing from Windows brings security threats

SECURITY

|
Image: By BizTechAfrica
Swing from Windows brings security threats

IT security firm Kaspersky Lab says a proliferation of new operating systems will present new IT security risks for the rest of the decade, and privacy protection will become a key issue.

Kaspersky Lab this week released its forecast for the IT threat landscape for the period 2011-2020.

According to the company’ s analysts, the most significant trends of the last ten years (2001-2010) were:

  •         Mobility and miniaturization. Smaller and smaller devices can now access the Internet from virtually any point on the globe. 
  •         The transformation of virus writing into cybercrime.
  •         Windows maintaining its leading position as a vendor of operating systems for personal computers.
  •         Intense competition in the mobile platform market with no clear-cut leader.
  •         Social networks and search engines – the primary services of today’ s Internet.
  •         Internet shopping – this sector already generates revenues that dwarf the annual budgets of some countries.

It says the defining feature of the next decade will be the end of Windows’ domination of user operating systems.

“ Though Microsoft’ s brainchild will remain the primary business platform, everyday users will have access to an ever-expanding variety of alternative operating systems. Notably, even now the number of devices accessing the Internet via Windows and non-Windows platforms are almost the same, with the latter even occasionally exceeding their Microsoft counterparts.”

It says the growing number of new operating systems will affect the process of threat creation: cybercriminals will not be able to create malicious code for large numbers of platforms.

This leaves them with two options: either target multiple operating systems and have many individual devices under their control, or specialize in Windows-based attacks on corporations. The second variant will probably appeal to them more – by 2020, targeting individual users will become much more complex because the emerging trend of making payments electronically and using online banking will continue, but biometric user identification and payment protection systems will become the norm.

The coming changes in operating systems and their specifications will affect virus writing techniques as these new systems evolve. Many cybercriminals who used to target Windows devices will have to become adept at exploiting the new-generation operating systems. To retain their ‘ place in the sun’ , today’ s cybercriminal will need to enlist the help of members of the younger generation who are capable of writing malicious code for the new platforms. However, this state of the affairs cannot prevail forever and we may well see ‘ turf wars’ between different hackers and hacker groups.

Kaspersky Lab says cybercrime in 2020 will almost assuredly divide into two groups. One group will specialize in attacks on businesses, sometimes to-order. Commercial espionage, database theft and corporate reputation-smearing attacks will be much in demand on the black market. Hackers and corporate IT specialists will confront each other on the virtual battlefield. State anti-cybercrime agencies will probably be involved in the process too and will have to deal predominantly with Windows platforms, in addition to the latest versions of traditional *nix systems.

The second group of cybercriminals will target those things that influence our everyday lives, such as transport systems and other services. Hacking such systems and stealing from them, making free use of them and the removal and changing of personal data about customers’ activities will be the main focus of attention of the new generation of hackers, who will make a living this way.

It also predicts that botnets, one of today’ s most potent IT threats, will evolve dramatically. They will incorporate more and more mobile and Internet-enabled devices, and zombie computers as we know them will become a thing of the past.

The tools and technologies used in the field of communications will undergo massive change. These changes will see greatly increased data transfer rates and enhancements that will make the virtual communication experience much closer to that of real-life: by 2020, communication via the Internet with the help of a keyboard will be the stuff of old movies, meaning spammers will need to seek out new ways of delivering their unwanted correspondence to addressees across the globe. The first step the spammers will take is to change from targeting desktops to mobile devices. The volume of mobile spam will grow exponentially, while the cost of Internet-based communications will shrink due to the intensive development of cellular communication systems. As a result, users will be less likely to worry about unwanted advertising material.

Kaspersky Lab concludes: “ The old adage ‘ Knowledge is power’ will be more relevant than ever before. The struggle for the means to collect, manage, store and use information, about everything and everybody, will define the nature of threats for the next decade. Therefore the problem of privacy protection will be one of the key issues of the decade.”



Share the News

Get Daily Newsletter

Search News

comments powered by Disqus

MORE SECURITY NEWS

Separating the attack that matters from the noise

It has almost become the norm for a business to be compromised by a security attack. The emphasis today is thus more on how a business responds to the attack, that is how have they prepared for the breach and how do they communicate it?  Read More

Enhancing your security posture to fight new ransomware threats

Petya ransomware is proving to be one of the top cybersecurity stories of 2016.  Read More

Arbor stops malware in its tracks

There is always a substantial amount of banking trojan activity taking place, however, recent developments have intensified the threat landscape.  Read More

Networks Unlimited certifies Fortinet partners in East Africa

Value-added distributor, Networks Unlimited is intensifying its footprint in East Africa, training its partners and customers in the region to become certified. Read More

Understanding the risk and cost of a DDoS attack

Thw Arbor Networks white paper, The business value of DDoS protections, says a continuing and growing threat to service availability is distributed denial of service (DDoS) attacks.  Read More

Addressing the threat of cyber-crime in the digital era

Globally-connected cyber-attacks require globally connected and seamlessly integrated cyber defences. Read More

DDoS attacks: An operational risk that should be included in enterprise risk assessments

Today’s enterprises are increasingly motivated to formalise their IT security and place it firmly within the context of their enterprise risk management and business continuity planning.  Read More

Arbor Networks report finds relentless threat environment

Arbor Networks Inc., the security division of NETSCOUT (NASDAQ: NTCT), has released its 11th Annual Worldwide Infrastructure Security Report (WISR) offering direct insights from the global operational security community on a comprehensive range of issues. Read More

No More Excuses – Time to Get a Grip on Your Cloud Security

Newfound optimism for the cloud inevitably means more critical and sensitive data is put into cloud services. And that means security is going to become a massive issue, says Intel.  Read More

RSA research reveals blind spots in threat detection

RSA, The Security Division of EMC, has released the results of a new Threat Detection Effectiveness Survey. Read More

PRESS OFFICES

Sage EnterpriseSAP AfricaTrust PayVMWareSamsung ElectronicsMitsumi DistributionPhoenix DistributionMTN BusinessSchneider ElectricMultichoiceMicrosoft 4AfrikaNetworks UnlimitedArbor Networks

FEATURED STORY

Government should encourage youths in ICT earlyGovernment should encourage youths in ICT early

Youths should be given more encouragement to develop their ICT skills, an 11-year-old app developer told Kokumo Goodie.

IN DEPTH

IBM Opens First Cloud Data Centre in South AfricaIBM Opens First Cloud Data Centre in South Africa

IBM is opening a new IBM Cloud Data Centre in Johannesburg, South Africa. The new cloud center is the result of a close collaboration with Gijima and Vodacom and is designed to support cloud adoption and customer demand across the continent.  

COMPANY NEWS

Resolving the data centre disconnect

The disconnect between virtualised applications and physical storage is costing businesses time and money.   

Separating the attack that matters from the noise

It has almost become the norm for a business to be compromised by a security attack. The emphasis today is thus more on how a business responds ...

MTN Business partners SMEasy to give entrepreneurs access to easy accounting solutions

MTN Business, in partnership with online accounting tool SMEasy, today announced the launch of an agile, fit for purpose business management and easy accounting solution for small ...